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Geminids 2026

How many Geminids will I see from where I live?

The Geminids are the year's best meteor shower, and you need no telescope or binoculars: your eyes, a coat and a dark corner. This page computes the count for your sky, hour by hour, and for a dark site, so you can see what light pollution costs.

Maximum: 14 December at about 14:00 UT (14:00 in London), in daylight for Europe. It falls between two nights that are equally good: 13→14 and 14→15. The table shows the first. Time from the International Meteor Organization's 2026 calendar, as quoted by calendars that cite it.

Your sky

London, United Kingdom · the largest city of your country, as a starting point

Any town of 1,000 people or more, anywhere in the world.

We have no light-pollution estimate for this place, so the slider starts at Bortle 8. Set it to what you see. faintest star about magnitude 4.5.

What you can expect

From London: about 21 meteors an hour at best, around 1:00. From a dark site: about 142 an hour, around 1:00.

The only difference between the two numbers is the sky: the dark site shows about 7 times as many.

These are rates for an attentive observer lying back with a clear sky. A first-time observer typically counts about half, and clouds count for everything.

Hour by hour

Expected meteors per hour, London, local time
HourRadiant heightYour skyDark site
18:0013°435
19:0021°654
20:0030°1175
21:0039°1495
22:0048°17112
23:0058°19127
0:0066°20137
1:00 ★ best hour71°21142
2:0071°21141
3:0065°20136
4:0057°19125
5:0048°16111
6:0038°1493

Dark site compared: Bortle 3 (faintest star about magnitude 6.8).

The Moon

The Moon (19% lit) is above the horizon for 2 of the dark hours. The table has already taken its light off your count (heuristic).

How to watch

  • You need nothing but your eyes. A telescope or binoculars shows a tiny patch of sky; meteors cross the whole of it.
  • Lie back in a reclining chair or on a mat, wrapped warmly. December nights are cold, and you will be there for an hour.
  • Give your eyes 30 minutes in the dark, and keep your phone dimmed or away: one look at a bright screen undoes it.
  • Look about 45° up, to one side of the radiant (in Gemini, near Castor). Meteors are longer, and so easier to see, away from it.
  • Unlike most showers, the Geminids are already good in the evening, once the radiant has risen. They are medium-speed and often bright.
How the numbers are made

Observed hourly rate = ZHR × sin(radiant height) × r^(limiting magnitude − 6.5). Physics: the formula, and the radiant's height, computed for your position.

The ZHR (about 150 for the Geminids) is an ideal: the count for an observer with the radiant at the zenith under a sky where stars to magnitude 6.5 are visible. Almost nobody sees it. It is also why the count falls so steeply with light pollution: r is about 2.6, so each magnitude of sky lost divides the count by 2.6.

Heuristics, not physics: the faintest star by Bortle class (a conventional table, up to half a magnitude out for a real sky), the Moon's effect (1.5 magnitudes at full, scaled by how lit it is) and counting only when the Sun is below 12° under the horizon.

Sources